A German General from WWI, Helmuth Karl Bernhard Graf von Moltke, famously said,”No Plan Survives Contact With the Enemy”.
Sometimes LIFE is the enemy. Sometimes it’s your own plans. Often, it’s just unforeseen, uncontrollable outside forces. Be it people or Mother Nature, your plans will take a beating. If you don’t have a, “Plan B” you might be as unprepared as not having a, “Plan A”.
Let’s just look at your evacuation plans;
Where will you go?
How will you get there?
What route will you take?
Can you imagine how many things could go wrong with just those three aspects?
Think, “Hurricane Katrina”… Just getting out of town became impossible in the first few hours.
I had a conversation with a Facebook fan. It went like this:
Fan- “But, what makes Plan B any better or less susceptible to failure than Plan A? If plan B is better or safer than your first idea, why isn’t it Plan A to begin with?”
ET – “It’s about having options. A fluid plan vs a static plan. “If we can’t go here, we can go there” kinda thing. It’s not just planning on going to grandma’s house. It’s knowing what your options are if you can’t get to grandma’s house or if her house isn’t safe. If,”Plan A” is to go South; what happens if everything “South” just got nuked? Now what?”
Fan – “I prefer to think of a “fluid plan” to be not so much a plan but a way of being able to adapt and think on your feet regardless of the situation. I say that because you can’t really plan for an emergency until you know what that emergency is and the details surrounding it. There are certain necessities required for survival in any situation. Those things should be taken care before you need them. However, I think there are too many different types of emergencies and sub-scenarios within every emergency to be able to really plan for them all. It is best to develop a certain mindset and a “particular set of skills” that will allow you to quickly and efficiently adapt to any emergency. I think it was a Soviet general who when explained why American soldiers were so dangerous said, “One of the serious problems in planning the fight against American doctrine, is that the Americans do not read their manuals, nor do they feel any obligation to follow their doctrine…” I guess what I’m trying to say is it is best to be flexible on the fly and not rely too much on set plans. The situation will determine your course of action.”
This conversation brings up a couple good points.
Yes, a “fluid plan” makes the most sense, to a point. You still need to have SOME sort of plan. Where are you going? What route will you take? What gear will you NEED? What gear will you WANT? There’s a big difference between NEED and WANT. Who will you take with you? Do you expect to encounter trouble? Hostile trouble? Roadblocks? These are things you should “Pre-Plan” for. You need the outline of a plan formulated ahead of time or you’ll be slower to react to changes. You may be ill equipped for the challenges ahead if you don’t plan AND prepare in advance.
So, how good is your, “PLAN B”?